September inflation: price growth is re-accelerating — what happens to the policy rate?

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01.10.2025

The Bureau of National Statistics released the data: annual inflation accelerated to 12.9%, while monthly inflation rose to 1.1%.


How has inflation changed? And how will the tenge’s depreciation affect prices in the coming months?


BCC Invest analysts have prepared an updated brief with key figures, scenarios, and forecasts.


For reference, our average forecasting error for inflation is just 0.2 pp — the lowest on the Kazakh market. Once again, we benchmark expectations against reality.


 Read more in the full note